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Mass Extinction due to meteor strike: Not likely but not impossible

Mass Extinction due to meteor strike: Not likely but not impossible

phie3Ohl

Welcome to the field of ["x-risks"](https://www.existential-risk.org/) (as in ["existential risks"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Existential_risks), about things that could wipe us out thoroughly) and it's cousin, the ["long now"](https://longnow.org/) (as in "thinking *way* long term", e.g. about [new "Rosetta Stones"](https://rosettaproject.org/) and ["Nuclear Semiotics"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_cat)) :) EDIT: Added some appropriate links. Also, have a song about "Ray cats" ;) https://emperorx.bandcamp.com/album/10000-year-earworm-to-discourage-settlement-near-nuclear-waste-repositories


RaevynSkyye

Honestly, we're lucky to be here, as a species. We almost went extinct at the beginning of the last ice age. And they knew more than most people today about surviving


dittybopper_05H

Yes, \*BUT\* they weren't as prepared as we would be. For example, if most people die in some planet-wide catastrophe, in many places there would be adequate food for the survivors for quite a while, it would just need to be dug out of the remains of houses, stores, and warehouses. Similarly, we know more about stuff than they did. And what we don't know is in books some of which will presumably survive. Also, at any given time, there are millions of people underground, and thus protected, in places like mines, basements, buried military bases, subways, and in tunnels. There are even, at any given time, thousands of people living underneath the surface of the sea, most of them in military submarines. So absent some bolt out of the blue like an asteroid that we don't see coming from a long enough distance, we're \*MORE\* likely to survive than our ancestors were. We know more about things like sanitation and the like, and we have access to more things that can help our survival than they did. And we would likely know something was happening and people could take some measures to mitigate the damage and death toll. Not saying everything would be hunky-dory, but I don't see humans going extinct unless pretty much \*ALL\* animal and plant life is extinguished. We're just too adaptable as a species.


RaevynSkyye

We don't know what time of year the disaster happened. It might have been spring or late winter, when their food stores were running out. But they did have the option of hunting a mammoth for food. We've since eradicated nearly all of the megafauna (though a lot of it probably couldn't survive the ice age any way). And it was out of the blue. A volcano erupted in the south Pacific that cased a volcanic winter and resulted in the ice age. By the way, if you think we would do something about a disaster, I direct you to Texas a few months ago, and what they've done to prevent it from happening again


bellj1210

It gets scary when you realize how many of these extreme long shot situations there are. A once in a million years thing is rare, but if we have a million of them, it becomes more common to see one. Personally, i accept that there is nothing i can do to prep for these types of things, and just worry about the things that i think have at least a 1% chance of happening in my lifetime.


DevilNedFlanders

I watched a documentary about that volcano that's due for an eruption and how it erupts every 600ish years and when it does, it'll affect almost the entire US with devastating results for the states closest to it. The big one in California will absolutely fuck the rest of us over for estimates of 6 months or so.


bellj1210

yep, and that is just one of those many things. It is not that it erupts every 600 years, it just erupts on average every 600 years.... so it could be another 300 years before we see anything.


DenvaCO

don't worry, the aliens will protect their vacation planet