T O P
  • By - jc191

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moki_martus

And it is still top daily performance. It lost only one time to M3GAN yet during initial run.


Matthmaroo

M3gan is a shockingly entertaining movie


Corninmyteeth

Towards the end it is.


Matthmaroo

I liked it


Corninmyteeth

Too each their own. I think I just don't like "thrillers" it was slow. Nice message tho.


Tsubasa_sama

Even that wasn't a real loss as it was up against M3GAN's Preview Thursday + True Friday.


blueblurz94

Shocking that outside M3GAN’s opening day, Avatar 2 will likely be the top domestic grosser for the whole month of January.


artur_ditu

Shocking?!


SpinjitzuSwirl

It’s a fucking crime puss in boots isn’t demolishing the everything, it’s an outstanding movie


zviggy47

It’s having pretty good legs at least. It won’t reach the original’s $555 million but it’s at least doing well. Deserves to do much better though.


SpinjitzuSwirl

I am happy to see it’s got good legs, yes. But it makes me sad that it won’t reach the original’s number when it’s far better (and this is coming from someone who really liked the first)


zviggy47

100% agree. Loved the first one but out of the two, the second one definitely deserves to be the higher grosser.


marklondon66

That film is catnip for VOD, which is where I'll watch it.


zackmanze

It’s already there.


SpinjitzuSwirl

For sure and it’s already there, but it’s AMAZING in theaters trust me


Chicagobulls9710

Always wonder the age of people who say stuff like this is an "outstanding movie"


SpinjitzuSwirl

…. Ok? Is the word outstanding something only the youths say? I don’t see how saying something is very good is a particularly dated statement.


peanutdakidnappa

It never even actually lost, the one time it did it included thurs previews and Friday together, if it was just Friday it would’ve lost


ramyan03

Pretty good. +137% from yesterday is pretty much the same Friday jump as last weekend. Also down just 33% from last weekend, which is a solid hold. Can probably hit $19M weekend from this (4.65/9/5.5). $20M still in reach (4.65/9.3/6)


KingJonsnowIV

SAT jump might be a bit softer because of NFL playoffs today


jc191

Possibly, but the NFL games didn't seem to make any real difference last week — we'll see what happens.


russwriter67

The Sunday drop won’t be that strong because of the NFL Playoffs and it’s a non-holiday Sunday as well.


Kami_123

stop mentioning NFL PLAYOFfS it is not relevant to tracking box office since it happens every year


OrdinaryDazzling

But isn’t it relevant to tracking the weekly’s? They don’t happen every week. Though obviously they did happen last week


russwriter67

It does affect the box office in January. Just like the Super Bowl hurts the box office when it comes up.


LioAlanMessi

But is it that relevant for this movie demographic? I assume it's going to hit harder for Otto than TWOW.


russwriter67

It’ll hurt Way of Water more since it skews towards young males. Otto skews female and older.


MrPlaysWithSquirrels

This movie’s demographic is all ages and genders so yes.


Kami_123

explain to me how you would measure this "relevance" and effect on the box office? There is no numerical basis or reasoning for you to be doing this. The playoffs and superbowl happen every single year and it's nothing special. We make weekly predictions based off historical prescient correct? And the playoffs and superbowl happen every year as a common denominator so there is literally no reason to bring it up in box office discussion. So while yes, it does have an impact, it is irrelevent to box office discussion. You compare this movie to Avatar's, Force awakens, No way homes ect. drops and decide if this was a good drop or not and make ur predictions based on those movies weekend grosses. But all those movies had playoffs and superbowl at the same time as well so it cancels out? So you saying the drop wont be as good because of the playoffs makes no sense when we base that off of the other movies with same circumstances. Get it???


tynmi39

You ok man? I think you might be taking this a bit too seriously


Kami_123

im just tryna explain box office to people sorry if you took it the wrong way. This is a more insightful discussion than 95% of the posts that just post polls here on this sub.


MrPlaysWithSquirrels

Yeah, nothing that happens every year impacts the box office… 🤡


Kami_123

did u even read the common denominator point i made? Please explain how u plan to quantify how the playoffs will affect avatar opposed to how it affected no way home last year?


PeculiarPangolinMan

Lots of things happen every year and can play a part in box office returns! Holidays, sporting events, school breaks, elections, etc.


ItIs430Am

I think I’ll take the wife to see it for the first time tonight. Add to those numbers lol


JGC78

See it in imax 3d only way man


JayDuPumpkinBEAST

I’ll second this. I’ve watched it twice: first time in IMAX, second in the xplus 3d+ HFR. The difference was astounding. With IMAX, I felt integrated into the world, but on the other screen there were obvious lens shifts between certain scenes with different frame rates, which ultimately made the world feel like it was a video game at times. I would say IMAX is the best medium to experience this film, bar none


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original_dark1

I honestly didnt like hfr cause they kept switching the frame rate on different scenes and that bugged the shit out of me, id rather see it on a big screen than 3d


Low-Wolverine-9792

The Cinemark near me is cleaner and better deal than my local AMC. Does anyone know if there's a substantial difference between Cinemark XD and IMAX?


SpinjitzuSwirl

If you can only have one go for puss in boots instead


Runa216

I almost wanted to argue with this, but then I remembered how emotional Puss in Boots got me and I realized...naw, both are amazing movies and both deserve all the money they can make.


SpinjitzuSwirl

Exactly. Avatar 2 is good and all, it deserves the money it makes… but puss in boots deserves more too. In my opinion, it’s far, FAR better than avatar. Which is really saying something because I quite enjoyed avatar Yeah, I see you people up there. Downvoting me for saying one movie is better than another, sorry for sharing my opinion. Downvote me all you want. Puss in boots the last wish is the best movie of 2022.


SrGaju

I can respect liking puss in boots 2 more than Avatar, even though I don’t agree at all. But saying Puss in boots was the best movie of 2022? Lol it wasn’t even the best animated movie when GDT Pinocchio is right there… watch more movies buddy.


SpinjitzuSwirl

Nah man Pinocchio is great but there’s so many layers of storytelling and profound lessons in puss in boots. Anything from the value of a life, living up to the legend, learning to ask for help, the value of what you already have… I can go on happily if you wish. And I’m not trying to say everyone has to agree with me, of course not, but I’m explaining a small part of why I consider it the best movie of the year. Not even beginning to factor in any sort of shrek nostalgia or living puss from other movies


ViolentAmbassador

Serious question- do I need to have seen Puss in Boots 1 to see the new one?


SpinjitzuSwirl

No. There’s 3 memorable Easter eggs for shrek fans like things you’ll definitely notice, and nothing else really matters. The ONLY thing from previous movies you need to know is: the ‘Kitty Softpaws’ character is a love interest for Puss. Even that, the movie makes clear very quickly and tells you the stuff that’s informing the current plot. So really no, this could easily be your first movie ever in the Shrek universe :)


ViolentAmbassador

Hi it's me, the person you convinced to give Puss in Boots 2 a shot. I wouldn't go as far as best movie of the year, but it was awesome it would definitely be my pick for best animated feature. Basically every single plot point in the climax lands perfectly - it's great.


SpinjitzuSwirl

Oh hey I’m glad to hear it! I know best movie of the year is a hot take many won’t agree with but in a lot of ways I find animation ultimately more interesting than live action whereas the majority of people actually discriminate against it from what I’ve seen. I guess humans feel more comfortable seeing other humans. But to me I’d rather see something more creative than just.. people … doing (usually) pretty normal stuff… drama and all. But that’s a tangent and a deep rabbit hole. I’m glad you like it, and it genuinely makes my day knowing I played some small part in showing this amazing movie to someone and they liked it!


ViolentAmbassador

Thanks! Got tickets lined up for Tuesday evening, I will report back.


peanutdakidnappa

Gotta disagree, PIB2 was awesome but avatar 2 as a theater experience can’t really be matched.


UTRAnoPunchline

Anyone remember the people on here swearing that The Way of Water would be on Disney+ within 6 weeks? 🤣


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dashrendar4483

You don't even have to dig out r/movies posts. There were plenty of those around here on r/boxoffice before release and even after the opening weekend...


SilverRoyce

Let's not summon users just to dunk on them. Don't need to do that to establish the point.


Correct-Baseball5130

I actually messaged each one of them informing them that avatar is hitting 2B today. Some of them had their messaging option deactivated from before. But yeah..none of them replied. How deplorable!


SilverRoyce

>I actually messaged each one of them informing them that avatar is hitting 2B today. Some of them deactivated messaging option. But yeah..none of them replied. How deplorable! Please don't do that. Your interaction may have been friendly but I've frequently seen this yield unnecessary flamewars and people feeling they're being dogpiled when multiple people do that.


Correct-Baseball5130

Got it.


Chicagobulls9710

I hope I never get this addicted to reddit


Longjumping_Wealth53

Bro lived rent free in his head for a whole month lmao and is proud to announce that shit. These kids aren't real bro.


PeculiarPangolinMan

Jesus that's so petty. Deplorable? Because they don't feel like arguing about box office predictions with an aggressive stranger on the internet? This whole thread is a shit show.


MusicEd921

Glad you said it! Calling out people and harassing them because they don’t like Avatar and didn’t think it would bring in money is just shitty. Who tf cares? They’re just being sore winners.


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bilbo_swagginz_boi

You sound like a prick


whoisraiden

How surprising that you being disrespecrful didn't result in correspondance. Such passive aggressiveness warrants meaningful conversation.


Correct-Baseball5130

Was just a banter. No aggressiveness. Don't get ahead of yourself..🤣


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Correct-Baseball5130

The first one replied and said this.. "For real though avatar sucks bad AND guess what. Only reason it grosses is some much is because 3D is mandatory and inflates the price. But dont let me stop you from enjoying your blue cock fest"


UTRAnoPunchline

That's big mad.


tibalose

Bro, you're my hero, I could never thought of that, ha ha. Great trolling.


Longjumping_Wealth53

Cringe, it's just a movie


Fhaksfha794

People just spout out the Dances with wolves/Ferngully in space but I bet they haven’t seen either movie nor can they name a single character from either movie. And it amazes me how people can be so stuck in their own echo chamber that they tjought that people didn’t want to see the sequel to the highest grossing movie of all time


Warm_Speech

“Dancing With Wolves” lmao. Really shows that the people who spit out this awful discourse haven’t even seen the films they’re comparing Avatar to.


optimusgrime23

That not even his own joke, it’s literally just the premise of a South Park episode called Dances with Smurfs


thisisanewaccts

We did not KNOW that it was possible to get a sequel! James C was doing all along for the ppl!


hellopandant

Hahaha, that's awesome. When will they learn reddit isn't real life? Just because Redditors circlejerk themselves into believing a movie is going to flop or has no fans, doesn't mean it's actually true, as evidently shown by Avatar's success.


chichris

That last comment is one I’ve seen the most. Never understood it. Like Cameron isn’t going to amaze with CGI and 3D again?


solidh2o

funny enough, i wanted to see it in 3d and the Dolby theater was having troubles near us so it was shown in 2d instead. I'm going back to see in 3d, but the story held its own without the gimmic of 3d, I'm excited to see the details we missed as we catch it again the "intended" way.


zackmanze

The movie is great on its own, but the experiential value with the 3D is just incredible.


Tamerlane_Tully

Yes all of these people were unapologetic assholes shitting on everyone who wanted to see this film. Ironically, I don't think I'm going to forget ANY of the current characters now lol. The second movie did a great job introducing the Sully family.


Sauronxx

God the amount of stupid comments in that thread. Aged like fine milk lol


MinuteFamiliar

How do I nominate all of this comments for 2022 awards?


cubes158

Most of the non-monetary statements can be true independent of the economic performance of the film. Unless I'm mistaken, it's roughly sitting #58th in US Domestic ticket inflation adjusted all-time, passing Return of the King, hovering amongst several Star Wars films, a dozen Disney animations, Pirates, Finding Nimo, Batman, Blazing Saddles...... [Even non-inflation adjusted numbers has it $200 million short of Avatar 2009]. Is there anyone in this thread that would argue that Avatar has the cultural impact of any of those franchises? Are there merchandise? Children's toys? Clothing? Themed birthday parties and weddings? Spinoff shows? Video games? Conventions? Cosplays? Fanfic? Book series? Memes? Active subreddits? Avatar uniquely exists as this nebulous massive economic success that no one seems to care about or talk about. Like everyone knows Avatar is out there, but no one could tell you the main characters name is Jake Sully ( I think, feels like I need to Google it). If it wasn't for r/boxoffice posting about Avatars numbers daily, I'd have forgotten this movie was in theaters. It's a cultural ghost. Maybe that'll change. The biggest cultural wave that Way of the Water made was when a group of POC were pissed and called the blue aliens Cultural Appropriation. *Even the controversy was flat.*


[deleted]

> Children's toys? Yep. > Clothing? Yep. > Video games? [Yep.](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-ca/game/avatar-frontiers-of-pandora) > Cosplays? [Yep.](https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/001/910/840/d59.jpg) > Book series? [Yep.](https://james-camerons-avatar.fandom.com/wiki/List_of_Avatar_Comics) > Memes? Check the /r/Avatar subreddit. > Active subreddits /r/Avatar has 70k members and growing.


monarc

Avatar shitposting is also upon us: /r/OkBuddySkxawng


Warm_Speech

Yeah Avatar has no cultural impact. Well, except for an entire theme park area at [Disney World](https://disneyworld.disney.go.com/destinations/animal-kingdom/pandora-world-of-avatar/), [toys](https://mcfarlane.com/toys/brands/avatar-movie/), [board games](https://www.walmart.com/ip/Monopoly-Avatar-Edition-Board-Game-for-2-6-Players-Family-Games-for-Ages-8-and-Up/1018062606?wmlspartner=wlpa&selectedSellerId=0&adid=22222222228000000000&wl0=&wl1=g&wl2=m&wl3=42423897272&wl4=pla-51320962143&wl5=9010259&wl6=&wl7=&wl8=&wl9=pla&wl10=8175035&wl11=online&wl12=1018062606&veh=sem&gbraid=0AAAAADmfBIq6j-6pN0pKnpx8HJXMFZF8X&gclid=Cj0KCQiAt66eBhCnARIsAKf3ZNHVmi62aQU6ryGNFCvPDyJ2XZG0EyVstJFYYtZme87Ila8KwxktqCoaAuHUEALw_wcB), [video games](https://www.avatar.com/games), and a [growing subreddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/Avatar/). Get off the echo chamber lmao.


Enderules3

I mean granted this isn't that much compared to most big franchises I think the real test in it's fandom will be how well non-Cameron Avatar products fare.


SilverRoyce

Avatar 1 created a global trend of 3D movies (whose failure to use the format functionally killed the golden goose after a few years) and nearly won best picture. > Conventions? Cosplays? Fanfic Transformers has conventions? Fanfic? Does Jurassic Park? I think Cameron sees "fandom" potential in Pandora but he both wasn't pushing it prior to Avatar 2's release and the general audience doesn't see it in that way. > Video games 2009 was a few years after straight video game adaptations of films basically died off and it took a while before they sort of revived.


Correct-Baseball5130

They don't know shite


Scarns_Aisle5

I remember a comment saying $1B was not possible worldwide just based off that Thursday preview figure......


NvidiaRTX

New idea for the sub: ban bets. You make a box office prediction (such as X dollar by date Y) if you lose you get banned for X days. If you win you get some kind of points or flair or something


Ilovemrstubhub

Even Black Panther isn’t on D+ yet


FriendsAndFood

If Bob Paycheck was still around, it could have happened.


traumakit

Should be over/under the 6th weekend of Frozen ($19.6M). That would make either the fourth or fifth biggest 6th weekend ever after Avatar, Top Gun Maverick, and Titanic


BOfficeStats

IMO ultra low theater count weekends shouldn't count when it comes to records. EDIT: They didn't count Frozen's 1st weekend in one theater.


UTRAnoPunchline

The OP gave the adjusted records.


BOfficeStats

Oh ok. I didn't see them mention that.


UTRAnoPunchline

Reminder that this soon to be $600M+ movie opened with a true Friday Gross of **only** $36M 🦵🦵🦵🦵🦵


FartingBob

Titanic: that's cute.


chichris

I’m satisfied with those number. Solid


jc191

Up **137.3%** from Thursday compared to last week's 136.8%, and down **34.0%** week-on-week from Friday to Friday. Probably around **$20.5-$21m** weekend off the back of this as long as Saturday is as strong as the Saturdays have been — possibly even **$21-$21.5m**. Higher Saturday bumps tend to get easier as the Friday gross gets smaller, so if Avatar 2's Friday-to-Saturday bump is as good as last week's, I'd be expecting a circa-110% Saturday bump or more this week compared to last week's 99.5%. With this estimated $4.65m Friday, Avatar 2 is running at: * **51.5%** of Avatar's $9.03m; * **64.7%** of Top Gun: Maverick's $7.19m; and * **133.2%** of No Way Home's $3.49m.


azrieldr

last sunday was boosted by MLK day i believe, so imho the number will be around 19.5-20.5 M


jc191

Yeah, I'm taking that into account — got it at circa-$10m Saturday and a low-to-mid-$6Ms Sunday, say $6.2-$6.6m. We'll see how it goes.


Bonerific9

Saw it today in 4dx. Probably the most fun I've ever had in a cinema ever. First time experiencing 4dx and it was so much fun. The film itself was absolutely brilliant too. Great characters and fantastic action. I didn't care much about avatar when it came out. I rewatched it last week to catch up and now after seeing 2 I'm all aboard the avatar train. Bring on 3, 4 and 5.


barefootBam

I saw it in IMAX first and 4dx last night for the second time. The 4dx was cool but after awhile the seat moving got a little much after 3 hours lol. This is one of those movies that needs to be seen in those premium formats if you can, just a great experience that can't be replicated at home.


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promutheus

Mighty.


DreamyAndrew

What’s the percentage wise relative to last Friday? Edit: never mind, saw it was 34% on the Deadline article.


vky8766

34% drop. (from 7.04 to 4.65)


vky8766

Up by 137.2% from Thursday. Drop of 34% from last Friday.


gajendray5

9M Sat incoming.


MrZombikilla

I've seen it 12 times. Would like to add to the total, but this movie now lulls me to sleep like a sweet lullaby, so I struggle not to pass out now. know the movie by heart, My brother moved in with me and has 2 year old and new born baby and I don't like being home. A-List is great for that


TerrorSquadron

How does one see a movie more than three times? It's only been a month


KingJonsnowIV

$20M+ weekend confirmed


[deleted]

The called me a madman in this sub for saying this would make 2 bills before it came out


Tsubasa_sama

That's 133.26% of NWH which would be the weakest daily performance against it since the holiday period ended. (New Year's Eve specifically when it did 78.11% of NWHs 3rd Saturday due to calendar configuration.) The target now rises slightly to 143.84% to beat TGM. Friday seems to be the weakest day relatively for A2, last week it only managed 135.98% of NWH and the weekend before that 137.54%, actuals could bump it up a little higher though to make it more in line with those numbers. I'd expect a 150%+ Saturday ($9.77m) leading into a $20m weekend but if it can equal last weekend's overperformance of 161.73% that would net it $10.54m and pave the way for a $7m Sunday assuming the same Sat-Sun drop as its 4th weekend which gives $22.2m on the high end. TL;DR: it's still on track for $20-$22m via the NWH comp.


flipmessi2005

Probably 4th best 6th weekend unless it manages to dip below Frozen 2’s $19.5M 7th weekend, but 6th in wide release


Sgt-Frost

So 20m 3 day?


bigbelleb

Looking like a 20M weekend


MinuteFamiliar

Welp, regarding weekends trends, FriYAY drop seems to show that now Avatar 2 will be having NWH-LIKE drops in the weekends. If Saturday gross confirms this trend, we can discard that TWOW will be having Maverick-like weekend drops henceforward. However, 600M still on reach. 700M will be a very slow grind, Maverick alas. Nonetheless, solid performance for a Friday. We have to wait for Saturday grosses in order to determine if this trend continues and this weekend gross goes higher/lower. As a lot of fellow Redditors have already said: this weekend gross seems like: 15(Floor) -22M(ceiling).


DreamyAndrew

“However, 600M still on reach” You say that as if the weekend won’t put TWOW 2m away from 600M.


MinuteFamiliar

We have to wait Saturday grosses. But as a matter of fact, 600M were predicted to be crossed by TWOW as early as yesterday and as late as next Tuesday. Again, we have to wait for today's gross. But, TWOW reaching 600M sooner or later is _Inevitable_


monarc

> TWOW reaching 600M sooner or later is Inevitable That's more like it!


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MilesM22

On a box office sub talking about the 6th highest grossing movie ever🤡🤡🤡


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[deleted]

Just ignore it? Would you go onto a football sub and complain that they keep talking about things that happened in a game?


SilverRoyce

> get that, but it pops up on r/all. Ok, but that's a problem you have with reddit's algorithm. Going to the subreddit to complain just lower's everyone's quality of life. > For months I read about them making billions, what is another couple million? Because it hasn't been out for months? Pre-release estimates/debates about how it will do/post-release tracking. A lot of it is also "using new data to predict final endpoint (and debate what that means). e.g. it's less that a film makes 4.65M or 4.8M on Friday than if people think that number implies that it will make 625M Domestic final gross or a 700M final one. There's also the aspect of using box office numbers as a way to attempt to test how genuinely popular stuff is.


Ifuckinghateaura

s


chichris

Anyone in this sub. We follow BO for runs like this.


MinuteFamiliar

We live for this. The need for speed in BO grosses!!!!


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azrieldr

nah bro we just like to analyze numbers, it's not that deep


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azrieldr

i mean the number predictions


MinuteFamiliar

r/lostredditors


Correct-Baseball5130

No one cares? 🤣 How intellectually deficient are you to not realize that this is a boxoffice sub where community members do care for a movie about to hit 2B. Only 5 other movies have done that. It's an unicorn club mate.


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Scarns_Aisle5

You're not even subscribed and you're taking the piss out of other people who enjoy reading this kind of stuff? Just ignore the sub. It's not that hard


Correct-Baseball5130

Hmm..hit a nerve, didn't I?


InwardlyReflective

For someone who doesn't care you sure wated a lot of time typing this. Move on and hush.